Published investigation
Current research archiveMARKET DATA HUNTER
MARKET IDEAS. TESTED.
RESEARCH LIBRARY
Ideas enter here.Evidence decides what survives.
A public record of market hypotheses as they move from historical investigation through statistical challenge and, when warranted, prospective validation.
The library is designed to preserve the research path, including results that weaken, fail, or remain unresolved.
1 investigation published
Failures stay in the record.
THE LIBRARY
Research, with the outcome left intact.
Each investigation keeps its methodology, evidence, limitations, and current status visible. A study does not disappear simply because the result becomes inconvenient.
Prospective tracking
Rules frozenPristine observations
Prospective evidenceArchived failures
None yetINVESTIGATIONS
Current research
One investigation is currently in the public research record.
INVESTIGATION001
PROSPECTIVE TRACKING
EQUITY SIGNAL RESEARCH
Trend Quality
Does persistent strength above a long-term trend predict future returns?
Trend Quality measures how persistently a stock trades above its long-term trend. Historical testing produced promising but temporally unstable evidence, so the methodology was frozen rather than further optimized.
View InvestigationEVIDENCE SNAPSHOTCurrent research state
Historical observations36,688
Evaluation dates144
Forward horizon20 sessions
Historical benchmarkSPY
Prospective observations0
Historical Development
COMPLETEStatistical Challenge
COMPLETERules Frozen
COMPLETE04
Prospective Evidence
AWAITING OBSERVATIONSHOW TO READ THE LIBRARY
Status describes the research.It does not grade the idea.
Historical Development
The hypothesis is being defined and examined against historical data.
Statistical Challenge
The observed relationship is tested against a pre-specified statistical null.
Prospective Tracking
The rules are frozen and only qualifying future observations can add new evidence.
Archived
The investigation remains public even if the evidence weakens, fails, or the research is discontinued.
RESEARCH PRINCIPLE
Failed ideas are still data.
Preserving unsuccessful investigations makes it harder to create a misleading record made only of ideas that happened to work. The archive is intended to show the process, not just the wins.